Focused Most Probability Estimation (TMLE) helps you clarify patterns the place different methods fall brief
Neural networks can spot patterns, correlations, and traits with beautiful accuracy. However in terms of answering ‘Why did this occur?’ they’re as clueless as a parrot mimicking human speech.
They’ll provide you with predictions, certain — however attempt asking them for a proof, and also you’ll be left looking at a black field.
This limitation isn’t distinctive to neural networks. Correlation-based strategies like linear regression and even superior instruments like Propensity Rating Matching can’t get to the core of causation-based traits in complicated information. That could be a downside when decision-makers (learn: your managers) demand actionable enterprise insights and never geeky stats that solely make nerds completely happy.
Susceptible to contradicting myself, right here’s a really geeky topic for you: Focused Most Probability Estimation (TMLE). The factor is, TMLE is one of the best of each worlds. It allows you to mess around with numbers as a lot as your nerdy mind needs, however it additionally makes your managers completely happy by producing enterprise insights.
Primarily, you get the rigor of causal inference plus the flexibleness of machine studying, This…
