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The Machine Studying “Introduction Calendar” Day 5: GMM in Excel

admin by admin
December 6, 2025
in Artificial Intelligence
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The Machine Studying “Introduction Calendar” Day 5: GMM in Excel
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In the earlier article, we explored distance-based clustering with Ok-Means.

additional: to enhance how the gap will be measured we add variance, with the intention to get the Mahalanobis distance.

So, if k-Means is the unsupervised model of the Nearest Centroid classifier, then the pure query is:

What’s the unsupervised model of QDA?

Which means like QDA, every cluster now must be described not solely by its imply, but additionally by its variance (and we even have so as to add covariance if the variety of options is increased than 2). However right here all the things is realized with out labels.

So that you see the thought, proper?

And nicely, the identify of this mannequin is the Gaussian Combination Mannequin (GMM)…

GMM and the names of those fashions…

As it’s usually the case, the names of the fashions come from historic causes. They don’t seem to be at all times designed to spotlight the connections between fashions, if they aren’t discovered collectively.

Completely different researchers, totally different intervals, totally different use circumstances… and we find yourself with names that generally conceal the true construction behind the concepts.

Right here, the identify “Gaussian Combination Mannequin” merely signifies that the information is represented as a combination of a number of Gaussian distributions.

If we comply with the identical naming logic as k-Means, it could have been clearer to name it one thing like k-Gaussian Combination

As a result of, in observe, as a substitute of solely utilizing the means, we add the variance. And we may simply use the Mahalanobis distance, or one other weighted distance utilizing each means and variance. However Gaussian distribution provides us possibilities which can be simpler to interpret.

So we select a quantity okay of Gaussian elements.

And by the best way, GMM will not be the one one.

Actually, your complete machine studying framework is definitely way more latest than most of the fashions it accommodates. Most of those methods have been initially developed in statistics, sign processing, econometrics, or sample recognition.

Then, a lot later, the sphere we now name “machine studying” emerged and regrouped all these fashions below one umbrella. However the names didn’t change.

So at the moment we use a combination of vocabularies coming from totally different eras, totally different communities, and totally different intentions.

Because of this the relationships between fashions will not be at all times apparent if you look solely on the names.

If we needed to rename all the things with a contemporary, unified machine-learning type, the panorama would truly be a lot clearer:

  • GMM would change into k-Gaussian Clustering
  • QDA would change into Nearest Gaussian Classifier
  • LDA, nicely, Nearest Gaussian Classifier with the identical variance throughout lessons.

And all of the sudden, all of the hyperlinks seem:

  • k-Means ↔ Nearest Centroid
  • GMM ↔ Nearest Gaussian (QDA)

Because of this GMM is so pure after Ok-Means. If Ok-Means teams factors by their closest centroid, then GMM teams them by their closest Gaussian form.

Why this whole part to debate the names?

Properly, the reality is that, since we already coated the k-means algorithm, and we already did the transition from Nearest Centroids Classifier to QDA, we already know all about this algorithm, and the coaching algorithm is not going to change…

And what’s the NAME of this coaching algorithm?

Oh, Lloyd’s algorithm.

Really, earlier than k-means was known as so, it was merely generally known as Lloyd’s algorithm, printed by Stuart Lloyd in 1957. Solely later, the machine studying group modified it to “k-means”.

And this algorithm manipulated solely the means, so we want one other identify, proper?

You see the place that is going: the Expectation-Maximizing algorithm!

EM is solely the final type of Lloyd’s concept. Lloyd updates the means, EM updates all the things: means, variances, weights, and possibilities.

So, you already know all the things about GMM!

However since my article known as “GMM in Excel”, I can’t finish my article right here…

GMM in 1 Dimension

Allow us to begin with this straightforward dataset, the identical we used for k-means: 1, 2, 3, 11, 12, 13

Hmm, the 2 Gaussians may have the identical variances. So take into consideration taking part in with different numbers in Excel!

And we naturally need 2 clusters.

Listed below are the totally different steps.

Initialization

We begin with guesses for means, variances, and weights.

GMM in Excel – initialization step- picture by writer

Expectation step (E-step)

For every level, we compute how probably it’s to belong to every Gaussian.

GMM in Excel – expectation step – picture by writer

Maximization step (M-step)

Utilizing these possibilities, we replace the means, variances, and weights.

GMM in Excel – maximization step – picture by writer

Iteration

We repeat E-step and M-step till the parameters stabilise.

GMM in Excel -iterations – picture by writer

Every step is very simple as soon as the formulation are seen.
You will note that EM is nothing greater than updating averages, variances, and possibilities.

We will additionally do some visualization to see how the Gaussian curves transfer in the course of the iterations.

At the start, the 2 Gaussian curves overlap closely as a result of the preliminary means and variances are simply guesses.

The curves slowly separate, modify their widths, and at last settle precisely on the 2 teams of factors.

By plotting the Gaussian curves at every iteration, you may actually watch the mannequin be taught:

  • the means slide towards the facilities of the information
  • the variances shrink to match the unfold of every group
  • the overlap disappears
  • the ultimate shapes match the construction of the dataset

This visible evolution is extraordinarily useful for instinct. When you see the curves transfer, EM is not an summary algorithm. It turns into a dynamic course of you may comply with step-by-step.

GMM in Excel – picture by writer

GMM in 2 Dimensions

The logic is strictly the identical as in 1D. Nothing new conceptually. We merely lengthen the formulation…

As a substitute of getting one characteristic per level, we now have two.

Every Gaussian should now be taught:

  • a imply for x1
  • a imply for x2
  • a variance for x1
  • a variance for x2
  • AND a covariance time period between the 2 options.

When you write the formulation in Excel, you will note that the method stays precisely the identical:

Properly, the reality is that for those who have a look at the screenshot, you would possibly assume: “Wow, the formulation is so lengthy!” And this isn’t all of it.

2D GMM in Excel – picture by writer

However don’t be fooled. The formulation is lengthy solely as a result of we write out the 2-dimensional Gaussian density explicitly:

  • one half for the gap in x1
  • one half for the gap in x2
  • the covariance time period
  • the normalization fixed

Nothing extra.

It’s merely the density formulation expanded cell by cell.
Lengthy to kind, however completely comprehensible when you see the construction: a weighted distance, inside an exponential, divided by the determinant.

So sure, the formulation appears massive… however the concept behind this can be very easy.

Conclusion

Ok-Means provides arduous boundaries.

GMM provides possibilities.

As soon as the EM formulation are written in Excel, the mannequin turns into easy to comply with: the means transfer, the variances modify, and the Gaussians naturally settle across the knowledge.

GMM is simply the subsequent logical step after k-Means, providing a extra versatile approach to symbolize clusters and their shapes.

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